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1988 - DETAILS |
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2009- more via LINK |
2012 - more via LINK |
Dr.
Arnd Bernaerts
Author in Climate Change
Matters – Oceans Govern Climate
XXXXXXXInXXXXXX
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A. Introduction 1 Scope and
Aim B.
Cooling of Europe 7 Arctic Europe - winter of 1939/40 (2_11) C. Three European winters: 1939 – 42 153 Occupation of Norway - Return of Ice Age (3_11) D. Global sea war and climate changes 211 Oceans in times of war: 1942 to 1945 (4_11) E. Severe Warming
1918 251 Europe Weather-Influence by WWI (5_11) F. Climate changes twice 303 Two wars at sea - Two climate shifts (6_11) |
Scope and Aim The presentation seeks to demonstrate that the
industrialized world contributed to at least two significant climatic changes
during the 20th century. Large-scale anthropogenic weather modification and
climatic changes resulted from two destructive sea wars. This became
particularly obvious when an arctic winter befell Northern Europe only four
months after World War II had started in September 1939. To establish a
definite connection between war at sea and climate change, climatic data for first
few months of WWII are analyzed in fourteen chapters. Thereon climatic data are
analyzed concerning the next two war winters of 1940-41 and 1941-42, in six
supplementary papers. It can be seen that record cold winters occurred in
Europe only. This elaboration is to establish further that two major climatic changes during the last century, viz. two decades of warming before WWII and four decades of cooling from 1940-80, are also closely linked to war at sea. WWI (1914-1918) presumably initiated the warming process; and WWII definitely transformed the world into a cooler state. A total of nine chapters cover various findings in this respect Full Text.
Human impact by the two wars
at sea 1914/18 and 1939/45 on regional and global climate has been explained in
a number of chapters. The anthropogenic climatic forcing occurs primarily
through changes and modifications to the ‘natural’ status of ocean and seas.
They transform this to short-term weather modification, or long-term climatic
changes. If the thesis on climatic
changes by war at sea activities has its merits, some explanations on the
general warming trend since 1880 may have to be reviewed. Like the
anthropogenic impact over two short periods within just a few years, which
accelerated the warming trend in 1918, and halted it in 1939, the
industrialized world uses global oceans and seas excessively, by installations
in tidal waters or floating means, particularly by naval, merchant and fishing
vessels. Hardly any of the numerous uses is neutral in the way that the
temperature and salinity structure is not ‘affected’. While there is ‘input’
and ‘output’, the overall balance sheet will show higher figures on the ‘input’
side, due to the high insulating capacity of water. However, on the ‘output’
side it eventually results in warming the atmosphere. With the end of the Little Ice Age, the use of the oceans no longer remained ‘neutral’. Day by day huge water masses are ‘turned about’. What it means in climatic terms could be demonstrated by explaining the climatic impact of the war at sea. Understanding the global warming trend since 1880 primarily means understanding the structure, conditions and changes of the oceans and seas HERE.
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Trafford
Publishing Climate Change By Arnd Bernaerts Price $31.04 Pages: 344 Size: 6x9 ISBN: 978-1-41204-846-0 Print Type: B/W |
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| NOTE Preparing and publishing of this web-site became necessary when WIKIPEDIA deleted the Biography __1st online 2013-Dec. 2015; __2nd online Jan--Apr. 2016 More Info and Discussion |
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From book page 5 The climatic change issue has recently become one
of the most serious challenges facing humankind. As L.O.S. Lieder insists on
brevity, even though this issue deserves to be discussed at length, I beg your
forgiveness for formulating my thesis directly and perhaps somewhat
dramatically: climatic specialists and those people who have contributed to
recent debates are possibly as much of a threat to the climate as the pollution
caused by industrialization. For almost one hundred years, science has failed
to realize that climate and the oceans are one and the same thing. As a result,
the 1982 U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea, the only true treaty dealing
with climatic change issues, was thwarted the moment it came into effect over
ten years ago. Although climate
should long ago have been defined as "the continuation of the ocean by
other means," the Framework Convention on Climate Change of June 1992 came
up with an alternate definition: "The totality of the atmosphere,
hydrosphere, biosphere and geosphere and their interactions." What this
all boils down to is that climate is nature working in all its forms – a
nonsensical definition and useless as a basis for legal regulations. As recently as
1990, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) came to
the conclusion that CO2 was altering the climate and that "understanding
and detecting the earth's climate system must surely be the greatest scientific
challenge yet to be faced by humankind. It is a worthy banner under which the
nations of the world can unite" (IPCC, Working Group I, p. 328). Certainly
not a bad thing for science. The 1992 Earth Summit resulted in an unprecedented
success for the scientists working in the climatic area, forcing politicians to
listen to them and paving the way for greater financial backing in an effort to
understand and come to terms with the climate system. Yet, what is
good for scientists is not necessarily good for the climate. The simple fact of
the matter is that meteorology has never been particularly interested in
climate except for statistical purposes, defining it as the average weather
over a given period of time. On the other hand,
there are the mathematicians, physicists and chemists, who do little more than
apply their laboratory findings, theoretical conclusions and abstract
calculations performed on greenhouse gases to a real natural system with little
regard for the true essence of climate. But while
the seas continue to influence the climate, science is staring into the air
(or, to be more precise, the atmosphere) in an attempt to find out what makes
the climate tick. What is more, scientists have misled the international
community of nations by claiming that greenhouse gases are the actual cause of
climate change. This may yet prove to be the real tragedy of the climate change
issue. After all, the oceans are still the part of the world about which the
least is known. There is neither an "inventory" of the oceans nor an
observation system. What is even sadder is that climate is still far from being
acknowledged as the blue print of the oceans. So beware of
IPCC's call for unification in its attempt to come to terms with the climate.
The climatic change issue is far too serious a matter to leave to those who
should have known better for many decades and who were not interested in or
aware of matters relating to the oceans. It is high time to enforce what is by far
the best convention for understanding and protecting the climate — the 1982
U.N. Convention on the Law of the Sea — before it is too late. After all, it is
the first global constitution and would therefore compel humankind to ensure
that the planet remains a place worth living in. There is no need to
"detect the earth's climate" and even less is there a need for a
banner to serve IPCC's "greatest scientific challenge."- BOOK Page 5 –
Introduction (1_11) - Prologue |
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